UFC 219 is set to occur this Saturday night (Dec. 30) in Las Vegas, Nevada, and let’s just say it doesn’t scream”quality” like previous end-of-year UFC cards.
The UFC piles its final card of this year from top to bottom. In 2017, we now get a major event between Cris Cyborg and Holly Holm. While it has the capability to become a fantastic fight, it doesn’t necessarily scream”buy this pay-per-view!”
This is also a very hard card to wager on as there aren’t a lot of fights that it is possible to get a powerful read on. Many of the favorites, like Cyborg and Khabib Nurmagomedov, deserve to be overpowering favorites, yet might also easily get merked with their competitions. Danger lurks.
Nevertheless, we need to generate a few plays. So let’s do the best we can to find a few golden underdogs, a few worthy props, along with a lucrative parlay. Additionally checking out my Best Bets for UFC Futures from a week, in which I suggested a few’dogs (Carla Esparza and Neil Magny) who hold some value.
Golden Underdogs
Middleweight: Marvin Vettori (-222) vs. Omari Akhmedov (+187)
At first glance, this moneyline at BetOnline seems perfectly okay, but when you have a better look at this preliminary matchup, you can find some solid reasons to select the puppy in Omari”The Wolverine” Akhmedov (17-4).
Although Marvin Vettori (12-3) is a larger fighter that loves to throw down, averaging 3.13 significant strikes landed per moment, he does not have enough power to shoot Akhmedov out via (T)KO, so this battle could wind up being a grappling event. While Akhmedov has shown in the past that he has some power in his hands (seven wins by knockout and also two”Fight of the Night” bonuses at the UFC), where he excels is in the wrestling department. The Dagestani grappler may easily wind up controlling the fight if the bulk is spent at the clinch or around the mat.
The kryptonite I see for Akhmedov is that his gasoline tank. Will he strike a cardio wall like he did in successive knockout losses to Sergio Moraes and Elizeu Zaleski? In both of those declines, Akhmedov started strong but faded badly in the later rounds.
He followed those declines with two hard-working conclusion wins Kyle Noke and Abdul Razak Alhassan, the latter an upset at UFC Fight Night 109. Right now I’m leaning towards”The Wolverine’s” hard palms and wrestling acumen for another potentially rewarding upset.
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