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It’s easy to presume the New England Patriots are a every and each week however heading into Week 2 vs the Miami Dolphins, Odds Shark is monitoring a spread that we haven’t seen??because the 2011 season that is regular. It’s the largest spread for any NFL game because 2013.
The Patriots are??now -19-point favorites in BetOnline to conquer the Dolphins after opening as 14.5-point faves??with 67??percent of the money now coming back on the Pats.
This is New England’s largest disperse as a favorite since 2011 as it??closed as 20-point dot versus the Colts and it is the Pats’??biggest spread for a fave for a street game in Odds Shark’s database whenever they had been 19-point faves at 2007 vs the Ravens.??
Just 3 matches have experienced spreads of 18 points or more as the start of the 2010 season, to put that in perspective of how large a spread that is:
Not my way to answer a question but did you really find Dolphins and the Patriots play in Week 1? They look like groups moving in opposite directions as the Pats beat against the Pittsburgh Steelers along with the Dolphins lost by 49 on their home field to the Baltimore Ravens.
The Patriots’ offense didn’t miss a beat in Week 1 and is expected to find a boost with WR Antonio Brown. New England’s defense looked by shutting Pittsburgh down to only three points incredible.
Meanwhile, the Miami looked as a 52-man dumpster fire and oddsmakers are hanging around the notion that the Dolphins could go 0-16 SU in 2019.
The 1 glaring fact which appears to be glossed over is the way the Patriots have prevailed in the past few decades in Miami. New England belongs to Miami every year and since 2013, the Pats are 1-5 SU and ATS in six matches at South Beach (popping eye emoji!) .
In four games in Miami since 2016, the Patriots were favored by a touchdown or more with just one SU and ATS win to show for this (35-14 win as 7.5-point faves on January 1, 2017).
I’m not eager to say that New England will go into Miami and lose outright. That would be absurd. What I am saying is that expecting the Patriots to cover this big of a spread has not been a profitable undertaking.
They’ve been a fave of 18 points or even five times in the Brady-Belichick era and while they have won every match, the simple fact remains they failed to pay the spread every time.
See for yourself with outcomes from Odds Shark’s database:
Now, it’s worth noting that a few of these games, where the Patriots were large faves, was through their early 2007 season when they finished 16-0 and demolished most of their league (before the Super Bowl, of course). But it has merit once we’re referencing spreads that are larger.??
Check the Patriots-Dolphins Game Center page to track the betting odds out and see how big this spread develops from now until kickoff.