Two times of Breeders’ Cup races come to a climax with All the Grand Pooh-Bah of These all, the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
There are a several story lines in the 2018 Classic, one involving the favorite, Accelerate. With a victory here, the John Sadler trainee can capture Horse of the Year consideration over Justify. It would take a whole lot to elect Accelerate within a Triple Crown winner, but the better the performance, the better the opportunity.
Another item of noteworthiness from the Classic is that a horse named Discreet Lover. Owned and trained by Uriah St. Lewis Jr., this Parx-based 5-year older was bought for a mere $10,000 and is now running in a $6 million race. Discreet Lover won the Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont in September and boasts over $1.3 million in earnings. We should all acknowledge Uriah to get a fantastic job conditioning this horse and wish him luck.
Here are odds and selections for three races on Saturday’s Breeders’ Cup card the Distaff, the Turf, and of course, the Classic.
Race 9: Breeders’ Cup Distaff chances and analysis
Purse: $2 million
For Fillies And Mares 3 years old and up Distance: 1-1/8 miles on the dirt
Post time: 4:16 p.m. ET
MOMOMOY GIRL (2/1 chances ) looks to make amends from her last outing, in which she crossed the wire first by a throat but was disqualified, also MIDNIGHT BISOU (6/1) was given the win. In the event, it were not for this disqualification and a defeat by a neck this past year, this woman would be a ideal 10-for-10. In what might be one of the very finely scripted races around the 2018 Breeders’ Cup card, Monomy Girl additionally takes on a year’s Kentucky Oaks winner, ABEL TASMAN (7/2).
Abel Tasman is coming from a dismal and puzzling fifth-place finish from the Sep. 30 Zenyatta Stakes at Santa Anita. Before that poor attempt, she rattled off two Grade 1 wins while posting two Beyer Speed figures of over 100. If she shows up with her A-game now, she will be one tough cookie.
WONDOR GADOT (15/1) came within a half-length of Monomoy Girl the last time the two met at Churchill, but her last two races were not great at all, and she looks from form.
BLUE PRIZE (10/1) is coming off three straight graded stakes wins and seems in good shape.
WOW CAT (8/1) demonstrated improvement whilst winning the Beldame last time out but finished a distant third to Abel Tasman before in the Personal Ensign Stakes at Saratoga.
CHAMPAGNE PROBLEMS (12/1) ran next to Blue Prize in their last two encounters missing by three-quarters of a span and a nose. If she can remain straight and unbothered from the stretch, then she could be harmful here.
VALE DORI (12/1) was a smooth winner of this Zenyatta Stakes. She is a person who comes into this race in great shape and with confidence.
Rounding out the field are LA FORCE (20/1), that comes off three-straight second place finishes in Grade 1 events; MOPOTISM (30/1), who’s really been off shape; and VERVE’S TALE (30/1), who likes to hit on the board when he could but seldom wins.
Breeders’ Cup Distaff chooses No. 2 ABEL TASMAN (7/2): Fires big Saturday
No. 11 MONOMOY GIRL (2/1): Will be correct there
No. 8 VALE DORI (12/1): She brings it today No. 7 MIDNIGHT BISOU (6/1): One tough woman Race 10: Breeders’ Cup Turf chances and analysis
Purse: $4 million
For 3-year olds and upward Distance: 1-1/2 Miles on the turf
Post Time: 4:56 p.m. ET
ENABLE (1/1 chances ) is your even-money morning-line favorite to dollar history and become the first horse to win the Arc de Triomphe and the Breeders’ Cup Turf in the same calendar year. This woman is a winner of nine of 10 career starts and also her livelihood worst is a third, just 2-1/2 lengths from the winner along with a perfect record. If she traveled okay and doesn’t mind the Churchill surface, she could have a very simple day. Europeans fare well in this particular race, and this seems to be the case this year again.
WALDGEIST (9/2), the second betting favorite in the morning-line chances, won four-straight Group 1 races in France before finishing fourth in The Arc. He ought to be prepared to roll here.
ROBERT BRUCE (10/1) looked decent winning the Arlington Million in August and came back a month ago to conduct a match second in a Grade 1 at Belmont.
TALASMANIC (12/1) won this race last season but took a beating at the recent Arc by 11 lengths.
CHANNEL MAKER (12/1) scored nicely by 4??1/2 lengths from the Joe Hirsh Turf Classic on Sept. 29. He posted a 108 Beyer in that race, and that puts him in the mix here.
MAGICAL (10/1) acquired a Group 1 at Ascot on Oct. 20 and conducted tenth in The Arc fourteen days before that. She could encounter this race somewhat tired.
GLORIOUS EMPIRE (12/1) won the Grade 1 Sword Dancer at Saratoga in August, in Addition to a Grade 2 before that. This horse has put it together in his last three starts.
SADLER’S JOY (30/1) conducted fourth in this race last season but is only 1-for-7 this year and has not won since March.
HI HAPPY (20/1) missed by a neck in the Knickerbocker in Belmont, but his two efforts before that were not good, and he’s in pretty deep .
ARKLOW (30/1) conducted a great moment in the Sycamore in Keeneland on Oct. 18, but that area was pretty weak and he resembles another who is overmatched.
LIAM THE CHARMER (30/1) just barely prevailed his last two wins in California, but his foes were not quite as classy as these horses.
HUNTING HORN (30/1) completed a dismal 16th at The Arc, and he’ll have a tough time on this group today.
The field is rounded out by QUARTETO p CORDAS (30/1), that has never raced outside Brazil and wasn’t even that great there.
Breeders’ Cup Turf chooses No. Two ENABLE (1/1 odds): Makes history today No. 3 CHANNEL MAKER (12/1): Is in winning mode No. 12 WALDGEIST (9/2): Will be about at the wire No. 4 ROBERT BRUCE (10/1): Can wake up here
Longshot with a shooter: CHANNEL MAKER (12/1 chances )
On paper, it’s nearly impossible to go against Enable in this race. However, if she does not show up with her finest, Channel Maker will be there to pounce. I see that this horse as a clear and strong second-place finisher, also we all should get at least 10/1 chances on him. Play him underneath Permit in your exotic stakes.
Race 11: Breeders’ Cup Classic chances and analysis
Purse: $6 Million
For 3-year olds and up Distance: 1??1/4 miles
Post Time: 5:44 p.m. ET
ACCELERATE (5/2 odds) is a neck away from six wins in a row and contains four Grade 1 victories this season. This guy was off the board just twice in 21 career starts and earned a 115 Beyer Speed Figure two starts back in the Pacific Classic. He is the deserving favorite and plenty scary, if you do not have him.
WEST COAST (5/1) conducted a great moment to Accelerate off a six-month layoff and has never been off the board in 12 starts. He’s filled out, toned up, and prepared and ready for a great work.
McKINZIE (6/1): Missed a lot of the year because of injury but came back to score sweetly in the Pennsylvania Derby. He is the finest of the three-year-olds in here.
MIND YOUR BISCUITS (6/1): Has hit the board in last seven starts and can be very capable of doing this today, but I do not see him winning.
CATHOLIC BOY (8/1): Gunning for four in a row, this guy’s a proven winner on dirt and turf. His last time was a triumph in the Travers Stakes by four lengths — he’s a player.
YOSHIDA (10/1): Last excursion proved to be a nice jog in the Woodward in Saratoga, and he came home by two lengths in a good and complete field. He can hit the board here.
THUNDER SNOW (12/1): He just missed in the Jockey Club Gold Cup at a good effort in September. However, his one start at Churchill wasn’t a good one — bucking and rearing at the start of the 2017 Derby. Thunder has made more than $8.5 million, and when he behaves himself, he could be a factor.
MENDELSSOHN (12/1): Although he’s been in the hunt in his last few races, he still hasn’t won since March and that was in Meydan. Passing.
ROARING LION (20/1) Talented 3-year older has cranked off four Group 1 wins in a row, but he has never run in the USA nor on dirt. Mixed feelings.
PAVEL (20/1): He ran second to Accelerate from the Pacific Classic, but 12??1/2 crosses behind. Passing.
DISCREET LOVER (20/1): Owned and trained by Uriah St. Lewis Jr., this horse appeared great winning the Jockey Club Gold Cup, but I don’t believe he gets a winning excursion .
AXELROD (30/1): A great second in the Pennsylvania Derby and has won a few events that are graded, but is not quickly or refined enough to contend with these.
LONE SAILOR (30/1): He won a Grade 3 in Remington Park on Sept. 30, his sole win in 11 starts. No thanks.
GUNNEVERA (20/1): He ran a decent moment from the Woodward in his final outing and this race matches his running style, but others are better.
Breeders’ Cup Classic picks No. 7 WEST COAST 5/1: Holds Accelerate at bay
No. 14 ACCELERATE 5/2: Establish for a Great effort No. 10 YOSHIDA 10/1: Nice win in The Woodward
No. 6 McKINZIE 6/1: Best of the 3-year olds
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