Syracuses crime is bad. The Orange have confronted three Power 5 groups: NC State, along with Maryland, Clemson. It is no shame to struggle against Clemson.
But the openings against Wolfpack and also the Terrapins of Syracuse speak volumes. When they werent down by double digits the Orange failed to dent against either team.
When its defense softened so as to enable more time to be wasted, in its last game, Syracuse finally scored. The Orange are 0-3 ATS and SU against Power 5 contest 10-points in a ho-hum 16-10 reduction against the Wolfpack and when scoring 20 points at a 43-point loss.
Neither defense is very excellent. Maryland ranks 104th in freshwater yards per game. NC State ranks 46th in the group while benefitting from a program that contains Western Carolina, East Carolina, and Ball State.
The Wolfpack had given up 44 points into some rebuilding West Virginia offense and 31 points into an Alex Hornibrook-led Florida State.
Theres a saying that games are won in the trenches and it could not apply more to the crime of Syracuse.
Take that the offensive line of Syracuse ranks 113th in opportunity rate, which essentially measures an offensive lines helpfulness to the teams victory on the floor. The Orange also rate 125th in speed of sacks enabled.
This has played out in the following manner: because its backs get stuffed the line of scrimmage and generally dont have anywhere to go Syracuse tries to set that the run but fails.
The Orange has to develop into pass-first using a contact-shy quarterback who becomes cannon fodder for guards.
Pittsburgh will be the strongest non-Clemson defense which Syracuse will have faced this season. Its strength begins up in the region.
The Panthers position 55th in opposing chance rate and in bag speed despite having to play with with with a respectable program that includes UCF ACC Coastal favourite Virginia, Penn State, along with Duke on the road.
Annually, the Panthers of Coach Narduzzi rank among national leaders in defense. This success is scheme-driven since Narduzzi likes to maintain his safeties near the line of scrimmage. The Panthers rank in opposing YPC 18th.
His secondary can also be currently holding its own with backs like Dane Jackson growing beyond what you might expect given their first positions well.
There is too much skill for opposing teams to keep an eye on, on the defensive line. Pittsburgh doesnt even have to blitz that frequently to amass as much stress on the quarterback since it does.
Players include Jaylen Twyman, who ranks third in the ACC with six sacks. Syracuse is going to have an even tougher time in protection without a Sam Heckel to start in the center.
Having a dominant Pittsburgh defense, there is much that Pitt has to do . The Pitt of this year incurred what seemed to be a massive loss with the passing of its star running backs. Pitt has become a group, ranking ninth in pass-play part time.
The issue becomes if Pitts pass assault can score offensively, and my answer is yes.
Quarterback Kenny Pickett has stepped in his enhanced role since him harassed into his teams opening loss against Virginia. He still makes mistakes — as the quarterback of Syracuse will, although he will not make as expensive ones when he contends with the turnover-inducing defense of Pitt.
But Pickett has often shown an improved ability to stand up in the picket and locate a receiver downfield. His chemistry with his new present wide receivers helps as does his acclimation into a new offensive coordinator.
What is going to help Pickett on Friday would be that the harm to Syracuses two defensive backs, Andre Cisco and Ifeatu Melifonwu, that were bits in what was a marginally above-average ACC pass defense.
The Orange have gotten blown out by Clemson and Maryland while they must face a quarterback last week at NC State.
There is an expression,Defense journeys, and it applies to Pitt, that will win on the strength of its defense and the sufficiency of its crime.
Theunder also appears to be a strong NCAAF Select as the current NCAAF odds total seems too high particularly awarded Syracuses offensive ineptitude.
Syracuses up-tempo offensive style drives up the total collection by oddsmakers while its inefficiency keeps the scoring down.
Very best Bet: Parlay at +227 chances: Pittsburgh ML in -165 odds with Beneath 52.5 in -118 chances at Pinnacle
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